VGE: "Retrouver l'intimité franco-allemande"
Par Equipe VGE le mardi 1 juin 2010, 17:42 - Lien permanent
Lisez l'interview de VGE avec Le Monde, parue dans l'édition datée du 2 juin 2010,
en cliquant ++ici.++
A Propos
Bienvenue sur ce blog...
Par Equipe VGE le mardi 1 juin 2010, 17:42 - Lien permanent
Lisez l'interview de VGE avec Le Monde, parue dans l'édition datée du 2 juin 2010,
en cliquant ++ici.++
Commentaires
La zone euro va être engloutie par le tsunami financier.
Septembre 2008 : première vague de la crise financière.
Juin 2010 : deuxième vague de la crise financière.
Les banques de la zone euro vont maintenant subir la deuxième vague.
Tsunami ! Tsunami !
Lisez cet article :
Les banques n'en ont pas fini avec les dépréciations, dit la Banque Centrale Européenne.
Les banques de la zone euro risquent de devoir inscrire dans leurs comptes 195 milliards d'euros de dépréciations supplémentaires d'ici la fin 2011, ce qui constituerait la deuxième vague des pertes causées par la crise financière et ses répercussions, estime la Banque centrale européenne.
Dans son rapport semestriel sur la stabilité financière, la BCE ajoute que les finances publiques représentent actuellement le risque le plus important pesant sur la stabilité de la région, les dettes et les déficits continuant de perturber les investisseurs tandis que les émissions massives prévues par les Etats risquent de restreindre l'accès des entreprises et des banques au marché du crédit.
Tout en constatant que des menaces d'interactions défavorables entre le système financier et les finances publiques sont déjà apparues, la BCE note que les nouvelles mesures adoptées pour combattre la crise ont considérablement réduit les risques de contagion.
"D'importants déséquilibres budgétaires demeurent et il est de la responsabilité des gouvernements d'affronter et d'accélérer la consolidation budgétaire afin d'assurer la soutenabilité des finances publiques, non seulement pour éviter le risque d'un étouffement de l'investissement privé mais aussi pour instaurer les conditions permettant une croissance économique durable", a déclaré le vice-président de la BCE, Lucas Papademos.
Evoquant une "deuxième vague" de dépréciations liées à la crise financière, il a précisé que la BCE estimait les besoins de provisions des banques pour couvrir les pertes potentielles à 90 milliards supplémentaires en 2010 et 105 milliards en 2011.
http://fr.reuters.com/article/busin...
Jeudi 3 juin :
- Si l’Espagne avait dû lancer un emprunt à 10 ans, elle aurait dû payer un taux d’intérêt de 4,518 %.
Le graphique des taux d'intérêt des obligations espagnoles est incroyable : les taux d'intérêt espagnols sont en train d'exploser.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuil...
- Si l’Irlande avait dû lancer un emprunt à 10 ans, elle aurait dû payer un taux d’intérêt de 5,007 %.
- Si le Portugal avait dû lancer un emprunt à 10 ans, il aurait dû payer un taux d’intérêt de 5,032 %.
- Si la Grèce avait dû lancer un emprunt à 10 ans, elle aurait dû payer un taux d’intérêt de 8,08 %.
Ces taux d’intérêt hallucinants montrent que le Portugal, l’Irlande, la Grèce et l’Espagne vont devoir emprunter à des taux d’intérêt de plus en plus exorbitants.
Le Portugal, l’Irlande, la Grèce et l’Espagne foncent vers le défaut de paiement.
DÉFAUT DE PAIEMENT - AGENCES DE NOTATION
Sauf le cas de la Russie en 1919 - et d'ailleurs il s'agissait de refus - et non de défaut - de paiement (le fameux emprunt russe) -, je ne connais pas de pays déclaré en défaut de paiement.
Pourquoi ?
Parce qu'un État ne tombe jamais en défaut de paiement au sens où on l'entend couramment : sa dette est renégociée, et lorsque la renégociation a abouti, personne n'y perd - pas davantage les créanciers que les débiteurs pour la bopnne raison qu'entre-temps et par la suite les premiers sont largement dédommagés par les intérêts perçus.
Pour cette et pour soulager un peu lles inquiétudes de BA, je proposerais d'interdire internationalement aux agences de notation d'apprécier les dettes dites "souveraines" et de mentionner les dettes d'État dans leurs évaluations.
Par ailleurs, je trouve excellente la proposition de créer une agence d'évaluation de l'UE qui contrebalancerait le pouvoir excessif des agences de notations américaines... en attendant que toutes ces agences soient supprimées, purement et simplement, car dans l'ensemble elles ont fait lagement la preuve de leur inutilité et même de leur nocivité.
Sans compter que ces agences dites privées servent d'officiines des intérêts des pays de résidence.(ce dernier pluriel devant être considéré comme un euphémisme) JR
Pardon pour les coquilles du précédent message, j'ai cliqué sur "envoyer" par erreur. JR
Entre 1501 et 2002, quels sont les Etats qui ont été en défaut de paiement ?
Réponse :
1- L'Espagne : l'Espagne a été 13 fois en défaut de paiement.
2- L'Equateur : 9 fois en défaut de paiement.
3- Le Venezuela : 9 fois.
4- La France : 8 fois.
Rappel : le dernier défaut de paiement de la France remonte au 30 septembre 1797 (les historiens l'appellent "la banqueroute des Deux Tiers").
5- L'Allemagne : 8 fois.
6- Le Mexique : 8 fois.
7- L'Uruguay : 8 fois.
8- Le Brésil : 7 fois.
9- La Colombie : 7 fois.
10- Le Liberia : 7 fois.
Etc.
http://blog.crottaz-finance.ch/wp-c...
Merci !.. 1000 mercis à nos cousins Germains !
Vous avez aimé… hier… vos frères de RDA…
Vous adorez… aujourd’hui… vos cousins Français, semble-t-il ?
Vous avez trimé pour vos frères de RDA…
Vous trimez « pour la France » !
Sincèrement merci !
Vous avez sauvé vos frères « fonctionnaires » à l’Est…
Vous sauvez vos cousins « fonctionnaires »… à l’Ouest !
Merci d’avoir substitué l’euro au deutch mark…
Merci d’avoir ainsi sauvegardé notre grand train dispendieux, ruineux…
Fabuleuse votre abnégation…
Incroyable votre goût, votre frénésie du travail… bien fait !
Votre labeur soutient notre indolence, notre paresse.
Votre sérieux soutient notre frivolité, notre légèreté.
Votre droiture soutient notre improbité, notre malhonnêteté.
Vous avez aimé… sauver vos frères d’Outre Mur…
Vous adorez… semble-t-il… sauvegarder vos cousins d’Outre Rhin!
Vous êtes prodigieux… 1000 mercis…
Eh Cousins Germains !.. "pourvu que ça dure", n’est-ce pas ?
Sos Idiot Utile... y voir clair pour changer vraiment.
Lundi 7 juin :
- Si l’Espagne avait dû lancer un emprunt à 10 ans, elle aurait dû payer un taux d’intérêt de 4,601 %.
Le graphique des taux d'intérêt des obligations espagnoles est incroyable : les taux d'intérêt espagnols sont en train d'exploser.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuil...
- Si l’Irlande avait dû lancer un emprunt à 10 ans, elle aurait dû payer un taux d’intérêt de 5,149 %.
- Si le Portugal avait dû lancer un emprunt à 10 ans, il aurait dû payer un taux d’intérêt de 5,20 %.
- Si la Grèce avait dû lancer un emprunt à 10 ans, elle aurait dû payer un taux d’intérêt de 8,141 %.
Le Portugal, l’Irlande, la Grèce et l’Espagne voient leurs taux d’intérêt qui explosent : ces quatre pays foncent vers le défaut de paiement (lire ci-dessus mon message numéro 5).
Au contraire, les taux d’intérêt de l’Allemagne deviennent de plus en plus bas.
- Si l’Allemagne avait dû lancer un emprunt à 10 ans, elle aurait dû payer un taux d’intérêt très faible : seulement 2,563 %.
Cette divergence est intenable.
Cette situation est explosive : la zone euro va finir par éclater.
Ola, j'ai googler pendant un bon moment avant d'attérir ici et je suis plutot content de ce hasard. Le graphiste qui a fait ce boulot est très fort, mais je vais passer sur ce sujet, voilà, les articles sont pratiquement tous passionnant et la façon de rédiger est vraiment sympa. Je vais faire un peu de pub via twitter pour ce super site! Salut.
Pays-Bas : la reine favorable à une alliance entre libéraux et extrême-droite.
La reine Beatrix des Pays-Bas a demandé samedi d'examiner la possibilité de former un gouvernement de coalition auquel participeraient les libéraux du VVD et le parti d'extrême droite PVV, ont annoncé des sources concordantes.
La monarque estime qu'il faut "explorer en premier lieu la possibilité de former un gouvernement auquel prendraient part le plus grand parti et le plus grand gagnant" des élections législatives anticipées de mercredi, a indiqué le service de presse du royaume dans un communiqué. Ces deux partis sont le parti libéral VVD de Mark Rutte et le parti d'extrême droite PVV du député Geert Wilders.
http://www.lemonde.fr/europe/articl...
Ca me rappelle quelque chose :
- une terrible crise financière, économique, sociale ;
- l’explosion de la pauvreté ;
- l’extrême-droite qui obtient des scores en hausse aux élections partout en Europe ;
- en Europe, la décennie 2010-2019 est bien partie pour ressembler à la décennie 1930-1939.
Les ouistes sont au pouvoir depuis 36 ans en France. Les ouistes sont au pouvoir depuis des décennies en Europe. Voilà le résultat concret des ouistes :
le retour aux années 1930-1939.
Bravo, les ouistes.
Votre politique supranationale aboutit à un beau résultat :
le retour des fachos partout en Europe.
Vous n'avez réussi qu'une seule chose :
l'arrivée de l'extrême-droite aux portes du pouvoir dans les pays européens.
Encore bravo.
PORTUGAIS, GRECS, ESPAGNOLS, SORTEZ VOTRE ARGENT DE LA BANQUE, VITE...
du 16 au 19 juin 2010 : Autre info qui a fait des ravages cette semaine, la panique qui s'est emparée du gouvernement espagnol, n'ayant plus une peseta en caisse. Les Espagnols sont cuits, et tentent de fusionner toutes leurs ccaixa en une seule pour garder le cash. Mais il n'y en a plus, nada, finito. Ajoutez à cela qu'il ne faut pas publier pas les résultats de chaque banque, et cela à la demande de la Deutsche Bank, pour ne pas effrayer les Espagnols !!!! Et il n'est pas question d'aider l'Espagne comme on a aidé les Grecs... Lire AEP. Du côté de la Grèce, c'est la fin ou presque avec Moody qui leur a planté le couteau dans le dos en dégradant leur note en papier Kleenex, ce qui signifie QUE LES GRECS NE PEUVENT PLUS EMPRUNTER, PAS PLUS QUE LES ESPAGNOLS. Les PORTUGAIS c'est pour bientôt. Ils sont tous cuits. Merci Moody, Merci Georges Pompidou, Merci Valéry Giscard d'Estaing, Merci BCE ! Et voyez: la Chine investit maintenant en Grèce, lire le Guardian.
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SOS Idiot Utile : Y voir clair pour changer vraiment.
Françaises, Français, toutes et tous.. de plus en plus PAUVRES...
Goûtez, savourez votre bonheur !..
((La suite sur http://sosidiotutile.sosblog.fr))
If you want to buy a car, you will have to get the personal loans. Furthermore, my father always takes a financial loan, which is really firm.
> DISSOLUTION ... oui ou non ?
> Choisir de dissoudre.. ou y être contraint ?
Y voir clair pour changer vraiment :
http://sosidiotutile.sosblog.fr
27 juillet 2010 : Coup d'envoi aux négociations d'adhésion de l'Islande à l'Union Européenne...
Selon la presse, l'UE a "invité Reykjavik à lutter (sic) contre l'hostilité croissante de sa population contre l'adhésion".
Lutte contre le Peuple...!!! sans vergogne !
C'est ça la pseudo-"démocratie" à la mode PPE+PSE, le bipartisme européiste de la clique PS+UMP !
"Démocrature" de Fonctionnaires apatrides et putrides. À quand la guillotine pour éradiquer cette vermine ?
I would like that all comments concerning the socalled VGE are translated into English in order to have maximum people from outside France understand what it's about there. Thank you.
Vive l'amitié franco-allemande :
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VGE je vous ai vu pratiquer le jogging récemment. Je voudrais vous féliciter pour votre prestance.
régate de bateaux bricolés sur le canal de l'ourq
VGE, je vous admire. Avec les copains on organise cette petite régate au nord du bassin de la vilette, c'est écolo, européen, et bonne franquette.
Mise à l'eau des petits bateaux à 15h00 régate à 17h00.
Je vous transmets le règlement de course à l'adresse, si vous le souhaitez player210@gmx.fr
Benjamin
Rv au croisement rue de Nantes et du canal. Face au restau les gouts du jour. Paris 19.
Il y a un nombre certain d'année on a fait tout un scandale au sujet des "avions renifleurs". L'article paru récemment das une revue sérieuse britannique montre que l'idée n'était pas tout à fait erronée!:
"A Scottish firm is hoping to develop technology to scan for underground oil deposits from the air.
Scientists at Adrok, Edinburgh, Scotland, have pioneered a scanner that uses a technique called atomic dielectric resonance (ADR) to detect and measure onshore oil reservoirs using radio and microwaves, reducing the need to drill test wells.
They have proven the technology works at depths of up to 4km and now hope to adapt it to search for offshore deposits, and so they can scan wider areas from the air.
Read more: http://www.theengineer.co.uk/100446... "
La décision de suivre ce projet n'était pas fausse mais uniquement trop en avance sur son temps!
Le 10 mai 2010, l’Union Européenne et le FMI ont menti : l’Union Européenne et le FMI ont annoncé qu’ils mettraient 750 milliards d’euros sur la table pour secourir le Portugal, l'Irlande, la Grèce, l'Espagne.
Ce mensonge a été efficace : les taux d’intérêt des obligations de ces quatre Etats se sont effondrés de façon spectaculaire.
Mais à partir du 12 mai, les investisseurs internationaux ont compris que ce plan d’aide n’était qu’un mensonge : ils ont compris que les Etats européens sont déjà surendettés.
Les Etats européens ne pourront donc pas emprunter des centaines de milliards d’euros pour secourir le Portugal, l'Irlande, la Grèce, l'Espagne.
Depuis le 12 mai, les investisseurs internationaux n'ont plus du tout confiance dans le Portugal, l'Irlande, la Grèce, l'Espagne. Conséquence : leurs taux d’intérêt remontent. Ces quatre Etats empruntent à des taux d’intérêt de plus en plus élevés.
Depuis le 12 mai, la Banque Centrale Européenne intervient massivement. Sur le marché secondaire, la Banque Centrale Européenne rachète les obligations d’Etat du Portugal, de l’Irlande, de la Grèce, de l’Espagne.
Mais c’est peine perdue. Malgré ces rachats de plusieurs centaines de millions d’euros, la Banque Centrale Européenne ne parvient pas à faire baisser les taux d’intérêt des obligations de ces quatre Etats.
Conclusion : il y a aujourd’hui deux zones euro.
1- La première zone euro regroupe les Etats qui semblent les plus solides : l’Allemagne, la France, les Pays-Bas, le Luxembourg, l’Autriche. Leurs taux d’intérêt baissent. Ils empruntent à des taux d’intérêt de plus en plus bas.
2- La seconde zone euro regroupe les Etats qui semblent agoniser : le Portugal, l'Irlande, la Grèce, l'Espagne. Leurs taux d’intérêt augmentent. Ils empruntent à des taux d’intérêt de plus en plus hauts.
Ces deux zones euros s’éloignent l’une de l’autre de plus en plus vite.
Si la Grèce lançait un emprunt à 2 ans, elle devrait payer un taux d’intérêt de 11,642 %.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote...
Si la Grèce lançait un emprunt à 10 ans, elle devrait payer un taux d’intérêt de 11,415 %.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote...
La Grèce fonce vers le défaut de paiement.
Le domino grec sera le premier à tomber.
Les "Français bio" ont été et demeurent accueillants et généreux.
> Étrange que ceux qu'ils ont ainsi accueillis, soient ou deviennent racistes et xénophobes et se sentent flattés dans leurs bas instincts par la clique médiocre et vulgaire PS+UMP dont ils sont les suppôts...
> Étrange que ces Français "non-bio" rejettent les plus faibles et sans-terre que sont nos frères ROMS ?
Serait-ce parce que les Roms sont chrétiens et européens ?
Y voir clair pour changer vraiment :
SOS Idiot Utile.
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then public meetings will be to party meetings, of the present day